MLB · Wed, May 13, 2026
Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Washington Nationals 8 – 7 Cincinnati Reds. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.39 | +20.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +58.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +39.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | +39.4% | 2 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +34.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.15 | +33.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +14.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Irvin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.84 | +12.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +12.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +11.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.78 | +6.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +6.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| TJ Friedl | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +3.0% | 0 | WIN |
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