MLB · Sat, May 16, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 3 – 13 Washington Nationals. 4 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.93 | +7.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +16.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +13.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.9% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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