MLB · Sat, May 16, 2026
New York Yankees at New York Mets
Final score: New York Yankees 3 – 6 New York Mets. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.74 | +2.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.10 | +88.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.41 | +51.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +42.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +29.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +27.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.11 | +25.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +14.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +10.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.59 | +6.8% | 3 | WIN |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.90 | +0.3% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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