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MLB · Wed, May 20, 2026
Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Houston Astros 1 · 4 Minnesota Twins. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.91 | +2.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cole | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.49 | +41.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tristan Gray | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.17 | +35.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +35.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +29.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +29.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +28.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Outman | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.75 | +25.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Joe Ryan | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.73 | +23.2% | 9 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +22.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +17.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +13.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trevor Larnach | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +7.1% | 0 | WIN |
| James Outman | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.25 | +6.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Mike Burrows | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.68 | +2.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.45 | +0.7% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Houston Astros that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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