Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, May 22, 2026
Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Minnesota Twins 8 · 6 Boston Red Sox. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.29 | +11.7% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.88 | +0.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +38.5% | 5 | WIN |
| James Outman | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.79 | +26.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +13.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +6.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +0.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Minnesota Twins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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