MLB · Fri, May 22, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 2 – 6 Toronto Blue Jays. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +13.2% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.91 | +3.1% | PUSH |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.18 | +19.5% | 8 | LOSS |
| Bubba Chandler | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.63 | +12.7% | 11 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +3.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
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