MLB · Sat, May 23, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 2 – 5 Toronto Blue Jays. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.94 | +7.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.13 | +77.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +44.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.08 | +32.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +29.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +29.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.03 | +28.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.90 | +16.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.93 | +9.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daulton Varsho | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
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