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MLB · Sun, May 24, 2026
Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Minnesota Twins 6 · 5 Boston Red Sox. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.30 | +12.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.85 | +0.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.78 | +21.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +14.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +11.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.08 | +3.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Austin Martin | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +2.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +1.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan Kreidler | Minnesota Twins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.83 | +0.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +0.5% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Minnesota Twins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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