MLB · Sun, May 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4 – 1 Toronto Blue Jays. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +11.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.89 | +6.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.42 | +55.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +50.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +48.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.46 | +46.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dylan Cease | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 8.5 | 1.74 | +24.3% | 8 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.59 | +10.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Jhostynxon Garcia | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +5.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
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