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MLB · Mon, May 25, 2026
New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals
Final score: New York Yankees 4 · 3 Kansas City Royals. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9 | 1.93 | +2.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +19.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | +18.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +16.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.18 | +16.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +13.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +10.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +10.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +9.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +7.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.66 | +6.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +1.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.78 | +1.4% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or New York Yankees that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 27 | 48.1% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 44.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 13.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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