MLB · Wed, May 27, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4 – 3 San Diego Padres. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.35 | +7.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 8 | 1.85 | +3.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +33.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Randy Vasquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | +23.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.26 | +15.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +9.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.74 | +5.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.36 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +0.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 1.91 | +0.6% | 9 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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