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MLB · Wed, May 27, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4 · 3 San Diego Padres. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.35 | +7.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 8 | 1.85 | +3.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +43.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +33.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Randy Vasquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | +23.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.44 | +18.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.26 | +15.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +14.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +14.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +9.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +8.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.74 | +5.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +5.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.36 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +0.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 1.91 | +0.6% | 9 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Philadelphia Phillies that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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