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MLB · Fri, May 29, 2026
San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals
Final score: San Diego Padres 7 · 5 Washington Nationals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.93 | +0.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.39 | +60.9% | 0 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +34.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +30.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lucas Giolito | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.74 | +25.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +17.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +10.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +8.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +1.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +0.9% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or San Diego Padres that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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