MLB · Sat, May 30, 2026
San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals
Final score: San Diego Padres 4 – 9 Washington Nationals. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.91 | +5.2% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.04 | +2.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodolfo Duran | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +25.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Drew Millas | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +14.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.18 | +7.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +3.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +1.8% | 1 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +0.1% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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