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MLB · Thu, Jun 4, 2026
San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: San Diego Padres 4 · 6 Philadelphia Phillies. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.85 | +8.7% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.58 | +3.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.87 | +29.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +28.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.77 | +18.6% | 8 | LOSS |
| Lucas Giolito | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.76 | +17.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +14.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +12.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.46 | +11.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +3.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +1.3% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or San Diego Padres that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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