MLB · Fri, Jun 5, 2026
San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs
Final score: San Francisco Giants 18 – 3 Chicago Cubs. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.61 | +5.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Alcantara | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.18 | +44.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +17.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +14.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Edward Cabrera | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.00 | +13.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.44 | +13.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.55 | +11.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.60 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kevin Alcantara | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.38 | +6.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +5.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryce Eldridge | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.49 | +5.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.60 | +4.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
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