MLB · Thu, Jun 11, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Chicago Cubs 2 – 3 Colorado Rockies. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.60 | +1.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Stevens | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +44.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Braxton Fulford | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.19 | +41.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +28.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +19.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +18.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +18.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Michael Lorenzen | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.93 | +16.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +15.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +13.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +11.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +10.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +8.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.4% | 0 | WIN |
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