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MLB · Fri, Jun 12, 2026
San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: San Diego Padres 3 · 7 Baltimore Orioles. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.11 | +38.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +22.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sung-Mun Song | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.87 | +17.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +13.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Griffin Canning | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.95 | +13.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +8.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +6.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +4.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +3.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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