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MLB · Wed, Jun 17, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros
Final score: Detroit Tigers 2 · 4 Houston Astros. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.93 | +0.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +41.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +38.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.06 | +31.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +25.4% | 2 | WIN |
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.65 | +24.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +17.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +9.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Kerry Carpenter | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +7.7% | 1 | WIN |
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.21 | +5.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +4.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Detroit Tigersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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