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MLB · Thu, Jun 18, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 5 · 3 Seattle Mariners. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.87 | +5.9% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +3.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +33.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryan Woo | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.90 | +27.6% | 9 | LOSS |
| George Kirby | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.71 | +21.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +19.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +18.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.11 | +18.2% | 12 | LOSS |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +15.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Shane Baz | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.88 | +14.3% | 9 | LOSS |
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +5.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Blaze Alexander | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.87 | +0.8% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies | 8 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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