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MLB · Wed, Jun 24, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 · 4 Washington Nationals. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.13 | +5.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +25.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +21.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.81 | +15.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +14.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.82 | +11.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.28 | +11.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +10.1% | 0 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +9.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.81 | +9.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +7.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +7.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +6.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +6.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +2.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +1.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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