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MLB · Thu, Jun 25, 2026
Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Houston Astros 2 · 1 Detroit Tigers. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9 | 1.83 | +0.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +46.6% | 1 | WIN |
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.80 | +35.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +32.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +20.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.44 | +20.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +18.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.60 | +14.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Kerry Carpenter | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +9.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.25 | +8.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Tatsuya Imai | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.81 | +8.0% | 10 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +5.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +2.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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