Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jun 25, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Seattle Mariners 1 · 5 Pittsburgh Pirates. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +6.3% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +2.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +30.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +16.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.73 | +14.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +12.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +9.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.02 | +5.4% | 11 | WIN |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.2% | 1 | WIN |
| J.P. Crawford | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +1.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Seattle Marinersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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