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MLB · Fri, Jun 26, 2026
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Final score: New York Yankees 1 · 6 Boston Red Sox. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +49.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.71 | +35.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +23.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +22.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +22.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +21.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +17.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +17.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +14.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +14.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +11.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Anthony Seigler | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +9.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.22 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +6.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +6.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +2.7% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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