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MLB · Sat, Jun 27, 2026
Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Washington Nationals 4 · 3 Baltimore Orioles. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +41.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.16 | +36.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +29.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +29.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +20.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.48 | +18.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.72 | +16.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +15.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +12.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +12.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyler O'Neill | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.38 | +11.0% | 0 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +11.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +10.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.21 | +9.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +2.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Coby Mayo | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +1.9% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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