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MLB · Sun, Jun 28, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 · 4 New York Mets. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +27.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +26.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jesus Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.21 | +19.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Tyrone Taylor | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.89 | +18.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.50 | +13.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.48 | +0.1% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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