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MLB · Sun, Jun 28, 2026
Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Washington Nationals 6 · 4 Baltimore Orioles. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.63 | +10.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.58 | +54.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.23 | +52.7% | 5 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +42.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +31.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +28.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +23.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +18.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +14.3% | 10 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +12.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Leody Taveras | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +9.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.24 | +7.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.65 | +6.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +6.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +3.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +1.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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