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MLB · Thu, Jul 9, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 5 · 2 Minnesota Twins. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.95 | +7.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +35.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Caratini | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +34.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.12 | +33.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +17.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +16.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kahlil Watson | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +13.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Manzardo | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +10.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +8.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +6.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +5.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +5.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +4.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.64 | +1.6% | 11 | WIN |
| Kyle Manzardo | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.46 | +1.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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