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MLB · Thu, Jul 9, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 5 · 2 Minnesota Twins. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.95 | +7.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +35.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Caratini | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +34.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.12 | +33.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +17.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +16.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kahlil Watson | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +13.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Manzardo | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +10.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +8.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +6.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +5.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +5.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +4.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.64 | +1.6% | 11 | WIN |
| Kyle Manzardo | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.46 | +1.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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