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MLB · Fri, Jul 10, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 2 · 10 Detroit Tigers. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +38.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +27.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +26.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +25.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +22.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +16.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +15.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.07 | +11.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +10.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.34 | +10.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kerry Carpenter | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +8.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +6.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +4.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.35 | +2.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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