Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 11, 2026
New York Yankees at Washington Nationals
Final score: New York Yankees 4 · 2 Washington Nationals. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.63 | +9.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.96 | +72.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +62.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Schuemann | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.55 | +60.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +53.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +38.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.29 | +37.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +30.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +29.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Max Schuemann | New York Yankees | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +20.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +20.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.25 | +16.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +12.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.88 | +12.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +12.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +9.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.71 | +7.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Cam Schlittler | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.70 | +6.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +4.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Max Schuemann | New York Yankees | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +4.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +3.5% | 0 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +2.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +2.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +0.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 1.86 | +0.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.