Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 11, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4 · 2 Detroit Tigers. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +7.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +34.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +16.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +15.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Matt Vierling | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +10.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +6.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +2.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.14 | +1.7% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.