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MLB · Sun, Jul 12, 2026
New York Yankees at Washington Nationals
Final score: New York Yankees 5 · 3 Washington Nationals. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +26.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +25.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +22.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.94 | +18.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +18.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.84 | +13.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +13.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +8.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +1.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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