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MLB · Sun, Jul 12, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 · 0 Detroit Tigers. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.89 | +0.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.92 | +32.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +26.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +23.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.81 | +23.0% | 10 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +12.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +10.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +6.9% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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