Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jul 16, 2026
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: New York Mets 4 · 1 Philadelphia Phillies. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.76 | +3.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +23.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +19.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +15.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.28 | +8.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jorge Polanco | New York Mets | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +5.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +3.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.44 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +1.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.18 | +1.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.28 | +0.9% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.