Skip to content
Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 18, 2026

San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals

Final score: San Diego Padres 6 · 7 Kansas City Royals. 33 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score6 · 7
Tracked picks33
Hit rate59.4%
Decided / Wins32 / 19

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Jase BowenSan Diego PadresHitsunder0.52.24+65.0%0WIN
Freddy FerminSan Diego PadresHitsunder0.52.38+59.1%1LOSS
Griffin CanningSan Diego PadresStrikeoutsover3.51.82+26.0%4WIN
Jackson MerrillSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.52.01+23.9%0WIN
Jackson MerrillSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.54+22.7%0WIN
Jake CronenworthSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.54+18.9%3LOSS
Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.52.06+17.8%4LOSS
Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.65+16.7%1WIN
Xander BogaertsSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.42+16.0%1WIN
Xander BogaertsSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.71+15.9%1WIN
Luis RengifoSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.47+15.8%n/aPUSH
Manny MachadoSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.38+14.8%0WIN
Seth LugoKansas City RoyalsStrikeoutsover3.51.62+14.7%3LOSS
Miguel AndujarSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.43+14.5%3LOSS
Carter JensenKansas City RoyalsRBIsover0.52.63+13.6%0LOSS
Ty FranceSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.37+11.7%1WIN
Michael KingSan Diego PadresStrikeoutsover4.51.94+9.8%4LOSS
Lane ThomasKansas City RoyalsTotal Basesunder1.51.61+9.6%6LOSS
Freddy FerminSan Diego PadresRBIsunder0.51.36+8.1%0WIN
Miguel AndujarSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.74+7.6%6LOSS
Bobby Witt Jr.Kansas City RoyalsHitsunder1.51.51+6.1%0WIN
Jac CaglianoneKansas City RoyalsHitsunder1.51.37+5.4%1WIN
Gavin SheetsSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.68+5.4%0WIN
Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego PadresRBIsunder0.51.54+4.4%1LOSS
Miguel AndujarSan Diego PadresRBIsunder0.51.44+3.5%0WIN
Jac CaglianoneKansas City RoyalsRBIsunder0.51.54+3.4%1LOSS
Jackson MerrillSan Diego PadresRBIsunder0.51.56+2.9%0WIN
Vinnie PasquantinoKansas City RoyalsTotal Basesunder1.51.61+2.4%1WIN
Jake CronenworthSan Diego PadresRBIsunder0.51.38+2.4%0WIN
Bobby Witt Jr.Kansas City RoyalsRBIsunder0.51.58+2.4%0WIN
Nick LoftinKansas City RoyalsTotal Basesunder1.51.55+1.9%0WIN
Jac CaglianoneKansas City RoyalsTotal Basesover1.52.13+1.0%1LOSS
Salvador PerezKansas City RoyalsTotal Basesunder1.51.64+0.9%4LOSS

Recent MLB games for these teams

Other games involving Kansas City Royals or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Sun, Sep 27, 2026Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals1741.2%View →
Sat, Sep 26, 2026Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals2540.0%View →
Fri, Sep 25, 2026Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals922.2%View →
Thu, Sep 24, 2026San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers714.3%View →
Thu, Sep 24, 2026Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals2842.9%View →
Wed, Sep 23, 2026San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers2100.0%View →

Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET

Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.

Apply for access →