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MLB · Sun, Jul 19, 2026
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: New York Mets 6 · 1 Philadelphia Phillies. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.09 | +13.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +34.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +22.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alan Rangel | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +20.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +18.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +4.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +2.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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