Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Jul 19, 2026
San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals
Final score: San Diego Padres 19 · 2 Kansas City Royals. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Bowen | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +50.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.14 | +41.8% | 0 | WIN |
| German Marquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.26 | +38.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.82 | +13.0% | 10 | LOSS |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +12.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +12.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +11.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +9.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +8.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +6.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +6.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +3.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +1.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | +0.9% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.