Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Jul 27, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 2 · 3 Pittsburgh Pirates. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 1.98 | +7.9% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.95 | +6.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +20.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +12.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +8.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +7.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.60 | +6.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +4.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +4.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +4.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +4.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.76 | +4.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +0.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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