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MLB · Mon, Jul 27, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3 · 2 Washington Nationals. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.97 | +9.3% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.76 | +6.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +40.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Max Scherzer | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.29 | +36.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Davis Schneider | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +36.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.93 | +26.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +5.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +4.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +3.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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