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MLB · Tue, Jul 28, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Athletics
Final score: Boston Red Sox 4 · 2 Athletics. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.55 | +4.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.91 | +3.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | Athletics | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.01 | +40.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Colby Thomas | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +26.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +18.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +16.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +16.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +9.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.91 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +5.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +3.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jacob Wilson | Athletics | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Andruw Monasterio | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +1.2% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Athletics or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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