Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Jul 28, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 0 · 2 Cincinnati Reds. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +7.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +16.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +10.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.77 | +9.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +5.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +5.0% | 0 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +3.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.76 | +0.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +0.1% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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