Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jul 30, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 2 · 3 Cincinnati Reds. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +41.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.05 | +34.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +27.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.11 | +24.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.78 | +18.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +16.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +13.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +11.9% | 4 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +11.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +11.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +4.0% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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