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MLB · Sat, Aug 1, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 · 0 Baltimore Orioles. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.22 | +5.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +19.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +14.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +12.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.71 | +10.0% | 11 | LOSS |
| Shane Baz | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.81 | +4.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +3.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +1.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan De La Cruz | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +0.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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