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MLB · Sun, Aug 2, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 2 · 10 Cincinnati Reds. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.29 | +9.1% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +5.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.97 | +14.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.73 | +8.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Marcell Ozuna | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.03 | +5.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +3.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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