Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Aug 5, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 5 · 4 Houston Astros. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.88 | +2.6% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.88 | +1.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +38.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +37.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +31.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Hayden Wesneski | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +28.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.54 | +17.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yainer Diaz | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.56 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jameson Taillon | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +16.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +12.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +9.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.27 | +6.9% | 8 | WIN |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.93 | +5.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +4.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +2.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daulton Varsho | Houston Astros | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.46 | +0.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.