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MLB · Thu, Aug 6, 2026
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Washington Nationals 3 · 7 Philadelphia Phillies. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.79 | +30.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.82 | +6.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 1.61 | +52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +16.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +16.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +13.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +11.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.77 | +8.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Justin Crawford | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +8.4% | 1 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +8.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.87 | +4.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.97 | +3.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +0.8% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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