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MLB · Fri, Aug 7, 2026
Athletics at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Athletics 1 · 13 Boston Red Sox. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.99 | +5.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Heim | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.29 | +35.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jack Perkins | Athletics | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.01 | +34.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +24.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +12.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +12.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +11.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +9.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +9.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Tommy White | Athletics | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +8.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.59 | +7.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.74 | +7.6% | 14 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +5.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +4.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +3.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +2.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jacob Wilson | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +2.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +1.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.40 | +1.4% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Athleticsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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