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MLB · Sat, Aug 8, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Chicago Cubs 3 · 6 Kansas City Royals. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.95 | +12.2% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.57 | +0.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +10.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +6.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +6.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +6.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +6.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +4.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +3.6% | 12 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.72 | +2.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.76 | +0.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +0.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +0.2% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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