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MLB · Sat, Aug 8, 2026
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres
Final score: Houston Astros 2 · 3 San Diego Padres. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +42.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +38.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.67 | +10.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +6.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +2.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +1.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.46 | +0.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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