Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 8, 2026
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres
Final score: Houston Astros 2 · 3 San Diego Padres. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +42.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +38.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.67 | +10.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +6.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +2.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +1.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.46 | +0.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Houston Astros that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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