Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 8, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 7 · 5 Philadelphia Phillies. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.15 | +38.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Garrett Stubbs | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.91 | +30.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.03 | +24.7% | 8 | WIN |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +11.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +10.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +9.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.92 | +7.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Max Scherzer | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +7.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +6.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +5.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +4.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +3.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +2.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +1.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +1.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.