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MLB · Sun, Aug 9, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Chicago Cubs 10 · 2 Kansas City Royals. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 10 | 1.93 | +9.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.66 | +3.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Dobnak | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.72 | +36.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +15.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +10.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Pedro Ramirez | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +8.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +8.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +7.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +7.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +7.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +6.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.83 | +4.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.79 | +3.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Isaac Collins | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +2.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +1.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.72 | +1.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +0.8% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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